Mountain Warfare / Modern Warfare (workshop summary)

01. MOUNTAIN WARFARE / MODERN WARFARE

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In an ever-changing world marked by climate change, migration, biological clashes, and escalating struggles, it is important to evaluate the readiness of military organizations to navigate these complex challenges. The central question revolves around the adequacy of our current organizational structures, command and control mechanisms (C2), and overall preparedness for a future shaped by technological advancements.

Our attention needs to be drawn to critical issues that demand strategic foresight and adaptation. With the rise of drone technology, electronic warfare, and the intricacies of a cyber world, the question is existing military frameworks are sufficiently equipped. The focus is not just on the present but on envisioning and preparing for the next two decades.

The core of the matter lies in the adaptability of military to the evolving landscape, i.e. potential misalignment between current structures and the demands of a multi-domain environment. Are our military structures tailored for the challenges that lie ahead, or do we need to reconsider and reorganize to effectively address them?

As technology continues to play a pivotal role, we have to consider acquiring the right technology and personnel accordingly. This includes reassessing recruitment strategies to ensure that the military is attracting individuals with the necessary skills and expertise.

In the context of NATO, the responsibility of Centres Of Excellence (COEs) is not only address current concerns but also to envision and prepare for the future.

There is no doubt on the need for re-evaluation of military preparedness in the face of emerging challenges. It is a call to action for military organizations to assess their structures, adapt to technological advancements, and ensure they are recruiting and training personnel capable of meeting the demands of an ever-evolving world.

The trajectory of the next two decades will be shaped by how effectively military institutions can answer these pressing questions and prepare for the challenges of tomorrow.

The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has brought to light a myriad of complex issues ranging from diplomatic strategies to the impacts of evolving military technologies. In this regard, we have to operate within so called DIAMOND Framework, emphasizing the interconnectedness of Diplomacy, Information, Military, and Economics.

Diplomacy. Reflecting on the events of 2014, particularly the annexation of Crimea, we have witnessed the failure of diplomatic efforts and the subsequent escalation of the conflict, significantly supported by Russia’s adept diplomacy. But has the West been truly committed to defend democracy and the rule of law?

Information. The importance of strong leadership and effective information warfare is emphasized, having Ukraine’s proficiency in countering Russian disinformation as an excellent example. Also, the significance of cohesive leadership at all levels is a must.

Military. There has been a significant impact of military corruption within Russia. Despite substantial investments, corruption led to a collapse in military effectiveness. However, there are certain parallels between Russia’s military setbacks and potential vulnerabilities within NATO countries, questioning our own preparedness for prolonged conflict.

Economy. Contrary to initial expectations, Russia has effectively managed its economy under sanctions, adopting a war economy model. From this perspective, we should consider the need for NATO and the European Union to reassess their economic strategies in response to Russia’s resilience.

Technology Shifts. In the eastern Ukraine, we have witnessed a surprising return of trench warfare and mass manoeuvre warfare, defying earlier predictions based on advancements in precision attacks. The role of drone technology emerges as a game-changer, providing precise targeting and disrupting traditional military strategies. The staggering human cost of the conflict (with over 250,000 Russian casualties) raises a concern over Ukraine’s challenges in receiving timely support and emphasizes the need for NATO countries to reevaluate their commitments. The Ukraine-Russia conflict unfolds as a complex interplay of diplomatic, military, economic, and technological factors. As the world witnesses the resurgence of trench warfare and the pivotal role of drones, global leaders must carefully analyse the evolving dynamics to formulate effective strategies that prioritize democratic values, human rights, and international peace.